Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.000473 0.000525 0.000581 0.000646 0.000719 0.000801 0.000897
2026-02-08 0.000383 0.000453 0.000536 0.000640 0.000769 0.000924 0.001127
2026-02-15 0.000328 0.000408 0.000506 0.000638 0.000811 0.001035 0.001351
2026-02-22 0.000291 0.000376 0.000484 0.000637 0.000850 0.001141 0.001578
2026-03-01 0.000266 0.000354 0.000472 0.000645 0.000897 0.001259 0.001837
2026-03-08 0.000244 0.000334 0.000458 0.000647 0.000934 0.001367 0.002095
2026-03-15 0.000230 0.000322 0.000454 0.000662 0.000990 0.001507 0.002423
2026-03-22 0.000211 0.000302 0.000435 0.000650 0.001003 0.001581 0.002649
2026-03-29 0.000198 0.000288 0.000425 0.000652 0.001036 0.001688 0.002952
2026-04-05 0.000185 0.000275 0.000413 0.000649 0.001061 0.001785 0.003250
2026-04-12 0.000175 0.000265 0.000406 0.000653 0.001096 0.001904 0.003610
2026-04-19 0.000165 0.000254 0.000396 0.000650 0.001119 0.002002 0.003944
2026-04-26 0.000158 0.000246 0.000391 0.000657 0.001163 0.002152 0.004426
2026-05-03 0.000148 0.000235 0.000380 0.000652 0.001184 0.002258 0.004836
2026-05-10 0.000140 0.000226 0.000371 0.000650 0.001209 0.002376 0.005300
2026-05-17 0.000134 0.000218 0.000363 0.000649 0.001238 0.002508 0.005828
2026-05-24 0.000128 0.000212 0.000360 0.000657 0.001285 0.002684 0.006510
2026-05-31 0.000123 0.000206 0.000355 0.000659 0.001321 0.002842 0.007184
2026-06-07 0.000120 0.000203 0.000356 0.000674 0.001386 0.003079 0.008145
2026-06-14 0.000113 0.000194 0.000344 0.000663 0.001389 0.003165 0.008677
2026-06-21 0.000109 0.000189 0.000339 0.000664 0.001422 0.003333 0.009514
2026-06-28 0.000104 0.000183 0.000332 0.000661 0.001446 0.003479 0.010324
2026-07-05 0.000101 0.000179 0.000329 0.000665 0.001485 0.003675 0.011365